The Bierstadt Model

CBB Regression Model

Last updated: March 12, 2025 at 01:07 PM EST

Color Legend

Green: Large difference (Spread > 3, Total > 5)

Yellow: Notable difference (Spread > 2, Total > 3)

Time (EST) Away Team Home Team Predicted Score Vegas Spread Model Spread Spread Diff Vegas Total Model Total Total Diff
11:33 AM Richmond Spiders Davidson Wildcats Richmond Spiders 67.3 - Davidson Wildcats 72.9 -3.5 -5.7 2.2 141.5 140.2 1.3
12:02 PM Virginia Cavaliers Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Virginia Cavaliers 57.0 - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 58.9 +0.5 -1.9 2.4 116.5 115.9 0.6
12:34 PM Cincinnati Bearcats Iowa State Cyclones Cincinnati Bearcats 64.6 - Iowa State Cyclones 69.8 -11.5 -5.1 6.4 134.5 134.4 0.1
01:00 PM South Carolina Gamecocks Arkansas Razorbacks South Carolina Gamecocks 66.7 - Arkansas Razorbacks 69.8 -1.5 -3.2 1.7 137.5 136.5 1.0
01:00 PM Charlotte 49ers Rice Owls Charlotte 49ers 67.2 - Rice Owls 70.7 -2.5 -3.5 1.0 138.5 138.0 0.5
02:00 PM Fordham Rams Rhode Island Rams Fordham Rams 74.5 - Rhode Island Rams 80.9 -4.5 -6.4 1.9 155.5 155.4 0.1
02:00 PM Grambling St Tigers Southern Jaguars Grambling St Tigers 61.5 - Southern Jaguars 64.7 -5.5 -3.2 2.3 126.5 126.1 0.4
02:30 PM Notre Dame Fighting Irish North Carolina Tar Heels Notre Dame Fighting Irish 71.2 - North Carolina Tar Heels 74.3 -9.5 -3.1 6.4 145.5 145.5 -
03:00 PM Colorado Buffaloes West Virginia Mountaineers Colorado Buffaloes 63.5 - West Virginia Mountaineers 65.7 -6.5 -2.2 4.3 129.5 129.2 0.3
03:30 PM Northwestern Wildcats Minnesota Golden Gophers Northwestern Wildcats 65.4 - Minnesota Golden Gophers 62.7 +2.5 +2.7 0.2 128.5 128.2 0.3
03:30 PM Texas Longhorns Vanderbilt Commodores Texas Longhorns 74.6 - Vanderbilt Commodores 73.3 -2.5 +1.3 3.8 148.5 147.9 0.6
04:00 PM Butler Bulldogs Providence Friars Butler Bulldogs 74.9 - Providence Friars 72.2 +1.5 +2.8 1.3 147.5 147.1 0.4
04:30 PM Fresno St Bulldogs Nevada Wolf Pack Fresno St Bulldogs 64.9 - Nevada Wolf Pack 71.5 -12.5 -6.6 5.9 137.5 136.4 1.1
04:30 PM La Salle Explorers Massachusetts Minutemen La Salle Explorers 71.5 - Massachusetts Minutemen 72.1 -2.5 -0.6 1.9 144.5 143.6 0.9
05:00 PM Lamar Cardinals McNeese Cowboys Lamar Cardinals 62.8 - McNeese Cowboys 69.7 -12.5 -7.0 5.5 132.5 132.5 -
06:00 PM Iowa Hawkeyes Ohio State Buckeyes Iowa Hawkeyes 76.5 - Ohio State Buckeyes 77.7 -5.5 -1.2 4.3 154.5 154.1 0.4
06:00 PM Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks Norfolk St Spartans Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks 63.7 - Norfolk St Spartans 76.2 -16.5 -12.5 4.0 140.5 140.0 0.5
06:00 PM Rider Broncs Quinnipiac Bobcats Rider Broncs 68.7 - Quinnipiac Bobcats 72.5 -8.5 -3.8 4.7 141.5 141.1 0.4
06:30 PM DePaul Blue Demons Georgetown Hoyas DePaul Blue Demons 70.9 - Georgetown Hoyas 73.5 -4.5 -2.6 1.9 144.5 144.4 0.1
06:30 PM UTEP Miners Liberty Flames UTEP Miners 64.6 - Liberty Flames 71.4 -7.5 -6.7 0.8 136.5 136.0 0.5
07:00 PM Air Force Falcons UNLV Rebels Air Force Falcons 60.2 - UNLV Rebels 68.3 -12.5 -8.1 4.4 129.5 128.5 1.0
07:00 PM Navy Midshipmen American Eagles Navy Midshipmen 66.2 - American Eagles 65.2 -3.5 +1.0 4.5 131.5 131.4 0.1
07:00 PM California Golden Bears Stanford Cardinal California Golden Bears 68.9 - Stanford Cardinal 69.9 -5.5 -1.0 4.5 139.5 138.8 0.7
07:00 PM LSU Tigers Mississippi St Bulldogs LSU Tigers 71.5 - Mississippi St Bulldogs 73.7 -8.5 -2.2 6.3 145.5 145.2 0.3
07:00 PM Kansas St Wildcats Baylor Bears Kansas St Wildcats 66.9 - Baylor Bears 69.2 -5.5 -2.3 3.2 136.5 136.0 0.5
08:30 PM Coppin St Eagles South Carolina St Bulldogs Coppin St Eagles 64.8 - South Carolina St Bulldogs 76.0 -15.5 -11.2 4.3 141.5 140.8 0.7
08:30 PM Florida A&M Rattlers Jackson St Tigers Florida A&M Rattlers 67.4 - Jackson St Tigers 69.9 -5.5 -2.5 3.0 137.5 137.3 0.2
08:30 PM Sacred Heart Pioneers Merrimack Warriors Sacred Heart Pioneers 67.1 - Merrimack Warriors 68.0 -2.5 -0.9 1.6 135.5 135.0 0.5
08:30 PM USC Trojans Rutgers Scarlet Knights USC Trojans 75.9 - Rutgers Scarlet Knights 75.5 +1.5 +0.4 1.1 151.5 151.3 0.2
09:00 PM CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners UC Santa Barbara Gauchos CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners 68.4 - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 74.0 -4.5 -5.6 1.1 142.5 142.3 0.2
09:00 PM Seton Hall Pirates Villanova Wildcats Seton Hall Pirates 57.8 - Villanova Wildcats 67.3 -10.5 -9.5 1.0 125.5 125.1 0.4
09:00 PM Utah Tech Trailblazers Utah Valley Wolverines Utah Tech Trailblazers 66.4 - Utah Valley Wolverines 75.9 -12.5 -9.5 3.0 142.5 142.3 0.2
09:00 PM Florida Int'l Golden Panthers Jacksonville St Gamecocks Florida Int'l Golden Panthers 63.5 - Jacksonville St Gamecocks 67.9 -7.5 -4.4 3.1 132.5 131.4 1.1
09:30 PM Oklahoma Sooners Georgia Bulldogs Oklahoma Sooners 72.1 - Georgia Bulldogs 74.2 -3.5 -2.1 1.4 147.5 146.4 1.1
09:30 PM UCF Knights Kansas Jayhawks UCF Knights 74.9 - Kansas Jayhawks 78.7 -10.5 -3.8 6.7 154.5 153.7 0.8
09:30 PM Syracuse Orange SMU Mustangs Syracuse Orange 71.1 - SMU Mustangs 78.0 -8.5 -6.8 1.7 149.5 149.1 0.4
11:30 PM Cal Poly Mustangs UC Davis Aggies Cal Poly Mustangs 75.6 - UC Davis Aggies 74.4 +1.5 +1.2 0.3 150.5 150.0 0.5
11:30 PM UT-Arlington Mavericks Grand Canyon Antelopes UT-Arlington Mavericks 70.0 - Grand Canyon Antelopes 76.5 -8.5 -6.5 2.0 146.5 146.6 0.1
11:30 PM Montana Grizzlies N Colorado Bears Montana Grizzlies 71.6 - N Colorado Bears 74.2 -2.5 -2.6 0.1 146.5 145.8 0.7